Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.688759 4.352134 5.125979 6.101799 7.308489 8.763460 10.668326
2024-12-22 2.658720 3.453569 4.496510 5.990922 8.120343 11.113466 15.764573
2024-12-29 2.172630 2.998050 4.165727 5.986657 8.846896 13.333956 21.265559
2025-01-05 1.829322 2.642800 3.862047 5.894431 9.348634 15.287551 27.027162
2025-01-12 1.627976 2.448093 3.741636 6.031337 10.216320 18.064641 35.378566
2025-01-19 1.424333 2.211083 3.503751 5.906693 10.572392 19.994591 42.890491
2025-01-26 1.347051 2.163384 3.565017 6.314002 12.024404 24.575468 58.768709
2025-02-02 1.260049 2.084038 3.554210 6.578002 13.254650 29.127669 77.388199
2025-02-09 1.191129 2.025119 3.568131 6.889779 14.674733 34.694113 102.890899
2025-02-16 1.107858 1.927921 3.492727 6.996334 15.648456 39.520456 129.890403
2025-02-23 1.039152 1.848683 3.439514 7.139065 16.755371 45.224800 165.435570
2025-03-02 0.956045 1.731296 3.291477 7.034126 17.185096 49.084477 197.263819
2025-03-09 0.899013 1.670509 3.278085 7.315486 18.988295 59.191322 276.677542
2025-03-16 0.811666 1.539466 3.098873 7.164012 19.554393 65.678152 351.269657
2025-03-23 0.747166 1.446473 2.987412 7.159582 20.589608 74.871415 465.107209
2025-03-30 0.684354 1.348509 2.848015 7.045319 21.229828 83.032277 595.366763
2025-04-06 0.645446 1.297619 2.811504 7.214891 22.969420 98.096618 843.566422
2025-04-13 0.593956 1.211944 2.676371 7.060503 23.443533 107.274843 1071.350477
2025-04-20 0.579504 1.209167 2.748614 7.565512 26.828005 137.174120 1767.629935
2025-04-27 0.557486 1.185656 2.763306 7.893597 29.683102 168.135978 2788.556315
2025-05-04 0.539151 1.168571 2.792315 8.281798 33.086057 209.016368 4630.980266
2025-05-11 0.512736 1.128340 2.751204 8.414652 35.355310 245.302778 7106.623005
2025-05-18 0.490008 1.094709 2.723611 8.592750 38.019443 291.226344 11448.885144